Dems Fall For GOP’s Kabuki Theater Over Ukraine, Israel, And The Border
INSIDE: Elon Musk ... Jack Smith ... Fani Willis
A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo.
Hostages For The Taking
It’s a measure of the GOP’s successful demagoguing of Ukraine that the bill finally released last night on the Senate side is widely referred to by the shorthand “border bill.” If you win the naming war, you win a lot.
Border concessions were of course the ransom the GOP demanded be paid. Now Dems have agreed publicly to pay it – and Republicans look ready to walk away. It’s not clear a majority of Senate Republicans will support the package. House Republicans have already called it DOA.
It’s not just Ukraine aid that is at stake. Aid to Israel and Gaza is included. All of it in jeopardy over yet another negotiation in which Democrats are held hostage, negotiate against themselves, and watch Republicans walk away from the deal they demanded because not only is no deal good enough but any “deal” is by definition a cave, a surrender, a capitulation to the evildoers on the other side of the negotiating table.
Republicans as a whole aren’t a viable negotiating partner because any one Republican, including any Republican at the negotiating table, can be quickly outflanked on the right and lose any bargaining power.
Democrats participate anyway because, to give it the most most favorable interpretation I can, they believe that they will come out looking better having tried and having exposed GOP bad faith. No matter that his has failed to come to fruition countless times in the past decade. No matter that it cedes the framing of the debate to the GOP, let’s Republican electeds off the hook, concedes way too much, and generates news coverage helpful to the GOP and problematic for Dems.
We’ve seen this play before.
Our Generation’s Henry Ford
Elon Musk embraces the Great Replacement Theory, and historian Kevin Kruse unpacks the racist stupidity: “I know, I know, it’s hard to believe a guy whose grandfather left Canada because it was becoming too diverse and decided to relocate the family to a newly-segregated South Africa could ever embrace paranoid racist nonsense, but here we are.”
Reap What You Sow
Deerborn, Michigan, ramped up police patrols at places of worship in response to fallout from a WSJ op-ed titled “Welcome to Dearborn, America’s Jihad Capital.”
Why Fani Why?
Morning Memo kept its powder dry until Atlanta DA Fani Willis formally responded in court to the claims she had a romantic relationship with the Nathan Wade, one of the special prosecutors she hired to help handle the Georgia RICO prosecution of Donald Trump et al – though it became pretty apparent before her response Friday that she wasn’t denying it.
Willis and Wade admitted to the relationship in the filing, but they hung a lot on their claim that it didn’t begin until after he’d been hired and they’d begun working together. If that holds up to scrutiny, I guess that makes it slightly better?
But it sucks that anyone working on any of the historic and high-profile Trump cases would do anything to give him an edge, advantage or fodder with which to work. The stakes are too high. The sacrifices that everyone else is making – witnesses, investigators, line prosecutors, jurors, court personnel – to bring to Trump to account deserves deference and respect. If you don’t want to make those sacrifices yourself, fine. Get out of the way.
Unfortunately, Willis committed her entire office to this effort and she can’t easily get out of the way without jeopardizing the case against Trump. So we’re stuck with her. Most legal observers don’t think this gives Trump an actual advantage in court, just in the political and public fray. We’ll see in a few days when the trial judge address all of this in an evidentiary hearing.
One coda to all this: I do wonder whether a male prosecutor would have been tagged with the same kind of public humiliation if he had engaged in similar conduct as Willis.
It’s Official
What’s been obvious for a couple of weeks is now official: U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan formally cancelled the March 4 trial for Donald Trump in the big election subversion case while his immunity appeal drags on.
And We Wait …
Still nothing from the DC Circuit on presidential immunity.
Jack Smith Hits Back Hard At Trump
Special Counsel Jack Smith is forced to educate U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon at length on why Trump’s counter-narrative in the Mar-a-Lago case is bogus, evidence-free, and self-serving. It’s quite a read.
DQ Clause Week In DC
As we prep for Supreme Court oral arguments Thursday on whether Trump is eligible for the presidency under the Constitution’s Disqualification Clause, some reading for you diehards:
Yale historian Timothy Snyder: Bad Arguments and Good Historians
Politico: Here’s What Happens if Trump Gets Kicked Off the Ballot
From The Department Of Ignorance Is Bliss
Philip Bump: Most Republicans aren’t aware of Trump’s various legal issues
J.D. Vance: I’d Have Coup’ed, Too
Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH) wasn’t in Congress on Jan. 6, 2021 but he made it clear in an interview with George Stephanopoulos that if he had been in Vice President Mike Pence’s shoes he’d have gone along with Trump’s fake electors scheme.
[Sponsored] An Inside Story Of The Democratic Party At A Moment Of Great Peril
The Truce, from journalists Hunter Walker (of Talking Points Memo) and Luppe B. Luppen, explores the major fault lines that define Democratic politics today and asks big questions about the future of the party. An engrossing page-turner, The Truce grapples with the dangers that threaten American democracy and the complicated cast of characters who are trying to save it.
2024 Ephemera
Biden romps in South Carolina Democratic primary.
Why you can safely ignore the Nevada GOP primary/caucus mess.
NBC News poll: Trump leads Biden 47%-42% among registered voters nationally.
Donald Trump fans MAGA flames against Ronna McDaniel.
SNL gives Nikki Haley a do-over on slavery and the Civil War:
Good Read
WaPo: The wild probe into investors of DWAC, Trump Media’s proposed merger ally
Oh …
Tucker Carlson visits Moscow and may interview Putin.
Ground Yourself On A Monday
Whatever controversy there was about Luke Combs’ success covering Tracy Chapman’s “Fast Car,” Chapman put it aside last night at the Grammy’s:
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That NBC "News" clickbait "poll" was 1,000 people who still have landlines and still answer the phone for unknown callers. Among the many descriptive terms that can be used for that demographic is "stupid." It also means the "poll" skewed Auld, and likely well into Faux Snooze World, where we know the economy is much worse than it was on Black Thursday in 1929.
Anyone who read the Jobs Report last Friday, which pointed out there have been 3.1 million new jobs created IN 2023 ALONE (compared with 1.6 million for all four years of Trjump's "administration") knows that one would have to live in "cloud cuckoo land" (to be polite) to think that the words "competent" and "able" can ever be used to describe anything involving the Inadequate-in-Chief.
Why don't they compare their "poll" with the Quinnipiac Poll eleased January 31, of 10,000 respondents, that has Biden leading Trump 50-42?
This is another good example of the fact that legacy linear TV "news" (and its cable associate) which are "circling the bowl" these days as they shed viewers, uses the same algorithm as FarceBook: get 'em upset and agitated and they'll come back. It would be business misconduct for them to tell people that a more accurate poll shows theirs is bullshit.
"another negotiation in which Democrats are held hostage, negotiate against themselves, and watch Republicans walk away from the deal" hope springs eternal I guess. Also, IDGAF about the Fani Willis brouhaha. Giving it any air at all is irresponsible.