I have a little experience with surveys but don’t know that get responses of 50% is good or bad. Past experience says it may be okay, but in the context of a political survey, I would think it way too high. So +/-3.6% should be a couple of magnitudes higher. It then seems to follow that the survey at hand is essentially worthless.
I have a little experience with surveys but don’t know that get responses of 50% is good or bad. Past experience says it may be okay, but in the context of a political survey, I would think it way too high. So +/-3.6% should be a couple of magnitudes higher. It then seems to follow that the survey at hand is essentially worthless.
We know without polls that people don’t directly elect POTUSes, the Electoral College does. I doubt that a granular breakdown of polls would be as close as the subject poll shows.
And, you know, 14 months before the election, and during the week leading up to an end of summer holiday weekend?
I have a little experience with surveys but don’t know that get responses of 50% is good or bad. Past experience says it may be okay, but in the context of a political survey, I would think it way too high. So +/-3.6% should be a couple of magnitudes higher. It then seems to follow that the survey at hand is essentially worthless.
We know without polls that people don’t directly elect POTUSes, the Electoral College does. I doubt that a granular breakdown of polls would be as close as the subject poll shows.
And, you know, 14 months before the election, and during the week leading up to an end of summer holiday weekend?